Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.003205 0.003582 0.003977 0.004418 0.004897 0.005401 0.005970
2024-10-06 0.002707 0.003250 0.003849 0.004554 0.005359 0.006244 0.007287
2024-10-13 0.002427 0.003068 0.003803 0.004699 0.005755 0.006953 0.008406
2024-10-20 0.002079 0.002757 0.003561 0.004573 0.005801 0.007230 0.009008
2024-10-27 0.001850 0.002558 0.003425 0.004547 0.005942 0.007602 0.009709
2024-11-03 0.001639 0.002361 0.003269 0.004475 0.006010 0.007874 0.010282
2024-11-10 0.001485 0.002220 0.003171 0.004461 0.006139 0.008212 0.010934
2024-11-17 0.001341 0.002079 0.003059 0.004419 0.006221 0.008486 0.011504
2024-11-24 0.001268 0.002028 0.003060 0.004520 0.006486 0.008992 0.012372
2024-12-01 0.001130 0.001875 0.002912 0.004410 0.006464 0.009124 0.012759
2024-12-08 0.001041 0.001785 0.002843 0.004402 0.006574 0.009423 0.013364
2024-12-15 0.001010 0.001778 0.002892 0.004557 0.006906 0.010021 0.014369
2024-12-22 0.000951 0.001726 0.002874 0.004619 0.007118 0.010470 0.015198
2024-12-29 0.000916 0.001709 0.002906 0.004755 0.007435 0.011069 0.016239
2025-01-05 0.000887 0.001700 0.002949 0.004905 0.007774 0.011702 0.017336
2025-01-12 0.000793 0.001575 0.002807 0.004774 0.007706 0.011770 0.017665
2025-01-19 0.000731 0.001500 0.002738 0.004747 0.007783 0.012039 0.018270
2025-01-26 0.000665 0.001412 0.002642 0.004673 0.007787 0.012202 0.018727
2025-02-02 0.000617 0.001351 0.002586 0.004659 0.007877 0.012486 0.019357
2025-02-09 0.000567 0.001284 0.002515 0.004615 0.007919 0.012700 0.019889
2025-02-16 0.000547 0.001272 0.002536 0.004720 0.008188 0.013245 0.020898
2025-02-23 0.000492 0.001186 0.002426 0.004606 0.008116 0.013291 0.021192
2025-03-02 0.000458 0.001140 0.002381 0.004598 0.008207 0.013575 0.021832